1
36%
Home Win
2.78
X
26%
Draw
3.88
2
38%
Away Win
2.61
xG Home
1.33
xG Away
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fulham an expected 1.3 goals and Chelsea an expected 1.4 goals. Fulham have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Chelsea at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
0:1
9.2%
1:0
8.9%
1:2
8.4%
2:1
8.1%
0:0
6.7%
0:2
6.3%
2:0
5.9%
2:2
5.6%
1:3
3.9%
3:1
3.6%
0:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chelsea Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Fulham | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 10 |
| 52 | Points | 52 |
| 39% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
Venue Form
Fulham at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Chelsea Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Fulham
L
W
Chelsea
D
L