1
37%
Home Win
2.68
X
25%
Draw
3.92
2
37%
Away Win
2.69
xG Home
1.38
xG Away
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fulham an expected 1.4 goals and Bournemouth an expected 1.4 goals. Fulham have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Bournemouth at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
1:0
8.7%
0:1
8.7%
2:1
8.3%
1:2
8.3%
0:0
6.3%
2:0
6%
0:2
6%
2:2
5.7%
3:1
3.8%
1:3
3.8%
3:0
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fulham Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Fulham | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 6 |
| 52 | Points | 57 |
| 39% | Win % | 34% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
Venue Form
Fulham at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Bournemouth Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Fulham
L
L
W
Bournemouth
D
W
W
Head to Head
Bournemouth
3 : 1
Fulham
L
Bournemouth
1 : 0
Fulham
L
Fulham
2 : 2
Bournemouth
D
