1
53%
Home Win
1.9
X
21%
Draw
4.68
2
26%
Away Win
3.83
xG Home
2.05
xG Away
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS
66%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fortuna Sittard an expected 2.0 goals and PEC Zwolle an expected 1.4 goals. Fortuna Sittard have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and PEC Zwolle at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.3%
1:1
9.1%
2:0
6.7%
1:0
6.5%
2:2
6.5%
1:2
6.4%
3:1
6.4%
3:0
4.6%
0:1
4.5%
3:2
4.5%
4:1
3.3%
0:0
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fortuna Sittard Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Fortuna Sittard | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 15 |
| 39 | Points | 37 |
| 32% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.09 |
Venue Form
Fortuna Sittard at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
PEC Zwolle Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Fortuna Sittard
W
L
PEC Zwolle
L
L
