1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.48
xG Away
0.89
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fluminense an expected 1.5 goals and Santos an expected 0.9 goals. Fluminense have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Santos at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.8%
1:1
12.3%
2:0
10.2%
0:0
9.3%
2:1
9.1%
0:1
8.3%
1:2
5.5%
3:0
5.1%
3:1
4.5%
2:2
4.1%
0:2
3.7%
3:2
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fluminense Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Fluminense | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 12 |
| 64 | Points | 47 |
| 50% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Fluminense at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Santos Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Fluminense
D
D
W
Santos
D
D
W
