1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.73
xG Away
1.72
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fiorentina an expected 0.7 goals and Como an expected 1.7 goals. Fiorentina have a 16% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Como at 61%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
14.8%
0:2
12.7%
1:1
10.9%
1:2
9.3%
0:0
8.6%
0:3
7.3%
1:0
6.3%
1:3
5.3%
2:1
4%
2:2
3.4%
0:4
3.1%
2:0
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Como Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| Fiorentina | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 4 |
| 42 | Points | 71 |
| 24% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.76 |
Venue Form
Fiorentina at Home
W1
D4
L1
(6 games)
Como Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Fiorentina
D
L
D
D
D
Como
L
W
W
