1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.91
xG Away
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fiorentina an expected 0.9 goals and Atalanta an expected 1.3 goals. Fiorentina have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Atalanta at 47%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
14.1%
1:1
12.8%
0:0
10.5%
1:0
9.5%
0:2
9.5%
1:2
8.6%
2:1
5.8%
2:0
4.3%
0:3
4.3%
2:2
3.9%
1:3
3.9%
3:1
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Atalanta Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Fiorentina | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 7 |
| 42 | Points | 59 |
| 24% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.34 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
Venue Form
Fiorentina at Home
W1
D4
L1
(6 games)
Atalanta Away
W1
D2
L3
(6 games)
Recent Form
Fiorentina
D
L
D
D
D
Atalanta
L
L
D
W
L
Head to Head
Atalanta
2 : 0
Fiorentina
L
Fiorentina
1 : 0
Atalanta
L
Atalanta
3 : 2
Fiorentina
L
