1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.46
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Twente an expected 1.5 goals and Utrecht an expected 1.1 goals. FC Twente have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Utrecht at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
1:0
11.2%
2:1
9%
0:1
8.5%
2:0
8.2%
0:0
7.7%
1:2
6.9%
2:2
5%
0:2
4.7%
3:1
4.4%
3:0
4%
1:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Twente Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| FC Twente | Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 6 |
| 58 | Points | 53 |
| 44% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.62 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
FC Twente at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Utrecht Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
FC Twente
W
W
W
D
Utrecht
L
W
W
L
