1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.56
xG Away
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Dallas an expected 1.6 goals and Portland Timbers an expected 1.2 goals. FC Dallas have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Portland Timbers at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
1:0
9.7%
2:1
9.2%
2:0
7.6%
0:1
7.5%
1:2
7.2%
0:0
6.2%
2:2
5.6%
3:1
4.8%
0:2
4.6%
3:0
4%
3:2
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Dallas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| FC Dallas | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 8 |
| 44 | Points | 44 |
| 32% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
FC Dallas at Home
W5
D2
L2
(9 games)
Portland Timbers Away
W2
D0
L4
(6 games)
Recent Form
FC Dallas
W
W
D
W
W
Portland Timbers
L
L
W
L
W
