1
44%
Home Win
2.25
X
26%
Draw
3.89
2
30%
Away Win
3.35
xG Home
1.48
xG Away
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Cincinnati an expected 1.5 goals and Charlotte an expected 1.2 goals. FC Cincinnati have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Charlotte at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
1:0
10.5%
2:1
9.1%
0:1
8.3%
2:0
7.8%
1:2
7.1%
0:0
7.1%
2:2
5.3%
0:2
4.8%
3:1
4.5%
3:0
3.8%
1:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Cincinnati Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| FC Cincinnati | Charlotte | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 4 |
| 65 | Points | 59 |
| 59% | Win % | 56% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.62 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
Venue Form
FC Cincinnati at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Charlotte Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
FC Cincinnati
W
D
W
Charlotte
L
L
L
W
