1
60%
Home Win
1.68
X
26%
Draw
3.89
2
15%
Away Win
6.81
xG Home
1.52
xG Away
0.61
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Famalicao an expected 1.5 goals and Alverca an expected 0.6 goals. Famalicao have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Alverca at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
18.1%
2:0
13.8%
0:0
11.9%
1:1
11%
2:1
8.4%
0:1
7.2%
3:0
7%
3:1
4.2%
1:2
3.3%
4:0
2.7%
2:2
2.5%
0:2
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Famalicao Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Famalicao | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 11 |
| 56 | Points | 39 |
| 44% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Famalicao at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Alverca Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Famalicao
D
Alverca
L
L
