Falkirk vs Hibernian Prediction

Live Match Centre & Lineups ›
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 09 May 2026 · Scottish Premiership
1 30%
Home Win 3.31
X 25%
Draw 3.95
2 45%
Away Win 2.25
xG Home 1.21
xG Away 1.52
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 55%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Falkirk an expected 1.2 goals and Hibernian an expected 1.5 goals. Falkirk have a 30% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Hibernian at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12%
0:1 9.9%
1:2 9.1%
1:0 7.9%
0:2 7.6%
2:1 7.2%
0:0 6.5%
2:2 5.5%
2:0 4.8%
1:3 4.6%
0:3 3.8%
3:1 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Hibernian Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Falkirk Hibernian
6 League Position 5
46 Points 51
39% Win % 39%
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Falkirk at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Hibernian Away
W2 D0 L2 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Falkirk
L W
Hibernian
L W W L