1
20%
Home Win
5.08
X
24%
Draw
4.23
2
57%
Away Win
1.77
xG Home
0.91
xG Away
1.73
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Falkirk an expected 0.9 goals and Heart of Midlothian an expected 1.7 goals. Falkirk have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Heart of Midlothian at 57%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
12.3%
1:1
11.2%
0:2
10.6%
1:2
9.7%
0:0
7.1%
1:0
6.5%
0:3
6.1%
1:3
5.6%
2:1
5.1%
2:2
4.4%
2:0
3%
0:4
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Heart of Midlothian Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Falkirk | Heart of Midlothian | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 1 |
| 46 | Points | 70 |
| 39% | Win % | 64% |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
Venue Form
Falkirk at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Heart of Midlothian Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Falkirk
L
W
Heart of Midlothian
D
W