1
44%
Home Win
2.26
X
28%
Draw
3.55
2
28%
Away Win
3.63
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
0.96
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fagiano Okayama an expected 1.3 goals and V-Varen Nagasaki an expected 1.0 goals. Fagiano Okayama have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and V-Varen Nagasaki at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.6%
1:1
13%
0:0
10.5%
0:1
10.1%
2:0
8.8%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
6.3%
0:2
4.8%
2:2
4%
3:0
3.8%
3:1
3.6%
1:3
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fagiano Okayama Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Venue Form
Fagiano Okayama at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
V-Varen Nagasaki Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Fagiano Okayama
D
W
W
V-Varen Nagasaki
W
L
W
L
