1
28%
Home Win
3.52
X
32%
Draw
3.13
2
40%
Away Win
2.52
xG Home
0.83
xG Away
1.04
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fagiano Okayama an expected 0.8 goals and Urawa an expected 1.0 goals. Fagiano Okayama have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Urawa at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16.1%
0:0
15.5%
1:1
13.3%
1:0
12.8%
0:2
8.3%
1:2
6.9%
2:1
5.5%
2:0
5.3%
0:3
2.9%
2:2
2.8%
1:3
2.4%
3:1
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Urawa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Fagiano Okayama | Urawa | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 7 |
| 45 | Points | 59 |
| 32% | Win % | 42% |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
Venue Form
Fagiano Okayama at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Urawa Away
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Fagiano Okayama
D
W
W
Urawa
D
L
W
W
L
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama
0 : 1
Urawa
W
Urawa
1 : 0
Fagiano Okayama
L