1
41%
Home Win
2.41
X
37%
Draw
2.67
2
21%
Away Win
4.74
xG Home
0.87
xG Away
0.53
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
BTTS
24%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fagiano Okayama an expected 0.9 goals and Tokyo Verdy an expected 0.5 goals. Fagiano Okayama have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 37%, and Tokyo Verdy at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 83%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
24.7%
1:0
21.5%
0:1
13.1%
1:1
11.4%
2:0
9.3%
2:1
4.9%
0:2
3.5%
1:2
3%
3:0
2.7%
3:1
1.4%
2:2
1.3%
0:3
0.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fagiano Okayama Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Fagiano Okayama | Tokyo Verdy | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 17 |
| 45 | Points | 43 |
| 32% | Win % | 29% |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.61 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
Venue Form
Fagiano Okayama at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Tokyo Verdy Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Fagiano Okayama
D
W
W
Tokyo Verdy
D
D
L
L