1
38%
Home Win
2.61
X
31%
Draw
3.28
2
31%
Away Win
3.21
xG Home
1.08
xG Away
0.94
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fagiano Okayama an expected 1.1 goals and Shimizu S-Pulse an expected 0.9 goals. Fagiano Okayama have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Shimizu S-Pulse at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.3%
1:1
13.5%
0:0
13.2%
0:1
12.4%
2:0
7.7%
2:1
7.3%
1:2
6.4%
0:2
5.9%
2:2
3.4%
3:0
2.8%
3:1
2.6%
1:3
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shimizu S-Pulse Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Fagiano Okayama | Shimizu S-Pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 14 |
| 45 | Points | 44 |
| 32% | Win % | 29% |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
Venue Form
Fagiano Okayama at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Shimizu S-Pulse Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Fagiano Okayama
W
D
W
W
Shimizu S-Pulse
L
L
W
Head to Head
Shimizu S-pulse
1 : 1
Fagiano Okayama
D
Shimizu S-pulse
1 : 2
Fagiano Okayama
W
Fagiano Okayama
1 : 1
Shimizu S-pulse
D
