1
22%
Home Win
4.47
X
27%
Draw
3.7
2
51%
Away Win
1.98
xG Home
0.85
xG Away
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fagiano Okayama an expected 0.8 goals and Kyoto Sanga an expected 1.4 goals. Fagiano Okayama have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Kyoto Sanga at 51%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
14.7%
1:1
12.4%
0:2
10.5%
0:0
10.3%
1:2
8.9%
1:0
8.7%
2:1
5.3%
0:3
5%
1:3
4.2%
2:2
3.8%
2:0
3.7%
2:3
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kyoto Sanga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Fagiano Okayama | Kyoto Sanga | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 3 |
| 45 | Points | 68 |
| 32% | Win % | 50% |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
Fagiano Okayama at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Kyoto Sanga Away
W1
D1
L4
(6 games)
Recent Form
Fagiano Okayama
W
D
W
W
Kyoto Sanga
L
W
L
L
D
