1
42%
Home Win
2.39
X
29%
Draw
3.47
2
29%
Away Win
3.4
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
0.98
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Everton an expected 1.2 goals and Sunderland an expected 1.0 goals. Everton have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Sunderland at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.5%
1:1
13.2%
0:0
11%
0:1
10.8%
2:0
8.3%
2:1
8.1%
1:2
6.5%
0:2
5.3%
2:2
4%
3:0
3.4%
3:1
3.3%
1:3
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Everton Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Everton | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 7 |
| 49 | Points | 54 |
| 34% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Everton at Home
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Sunderland Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Everton
D
D
L
L
Sunderland
D
D
L
Head to Head
Everton
–
Sunderland
Everton
1 : 1
Sunderland
D
Sunderland
1 : 1
Everton
D
