1
18%
Home Win
5.43
X
23%
Draw
4.36
2
59%
Away Win
1.71
xG Home
0.89
xG Away
1.80
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Everton an expected 0.9 goals and Manchester City an expected 1.8 goals. Everton have a 18% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Manchester City at 59%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
12.2%
0:2
10.9%
1:1
10.9%
1:2
9.8%
0:0
6.8%
0:3
6.5%
1:0
6.1%
1:3
5.9%
2:1
4.9%
2:2
4.4%
0:4
2.9%
2:0
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Manchester City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 59% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.69 |
| Market Odds | 1.8 |
Team Comparison
| Everton | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 2 |
| 49 | Points | 78 |
| 34% | Win % | 61% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.03 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
Venue Form
Everton at Home
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Manchester City Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Everton
D
D
L
L
Manchester City
D
W
W
Head to Head
Everton
1 : 1
Manchester City
D
Manchester City
2 : 0
Everton
L
Everton
0 : 2
Manchester City
L
