1
45%
Home Win
2.24
X
28%
Draw
3.56
2
27%
Away Win
3.66
xG Home
1.30
xG Away
0.96
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Everton an expected 1.3 goals and Crystal Palace an expected 1.0 goals. Everton have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Crystal Palace at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.6%
1:1
13%
0:0
10.4%
0:1
10%
2:0
8.9%
2:1
8.5%
1:2
6.2%
0:2
4.8%
2:2
4.1%
3:0
3.9%
3:1
3.7%
1:3
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Everton Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Everton | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 15 |
| 49 | Points | 45 |
| 34% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
Venue Form
Everton at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Crystal Palace Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Everton
D
L
L
Crystal Palace
L
L
L