Estac Troyes vs Lens Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · Ligue 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.53
xG Away 1.13
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 53%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Estac Troyes an expected 1.5 goals and Lens an expected 1.1 goals. Estac Troyes have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Lens at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.7%
2:1 9.2%
2:0 8.2%
0:1 7.9%
0:0 7%
1:2 6.8%
2:2 5.2%
3:1 4.7%
0:2 4.5%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Estac Troyes Win
Probability 46%
Predicted Odds 2.17
Market Odds 2.31

Venue Form

Estac Troyes at Home
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate
Lens Away
W0 D3 L1 (4 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Estac Troyes
L
Lens
L D D D