1
60%
Home Win
1.68
X
26%
Draw
3.8
2
14%
Away Win
7.12
xG Home
1.48
xG Away
0.56
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
BTTS
33%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives England an expected 1.5 goals and Congo DR an expected 0.6 goals. England have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Congo DR at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
19.2%
2:0
14.2%
0:0
13%
1:1
10.8%
2:1
8%
0:1
7.3%
3:0
7%
3:1
3.9%
1:2
3%
4:0
2.6%
2:2
2.2%
0:2
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | England Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| England | Congo DR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
