1
59%
Home Win
1.69
X
27%
Draw
3.74
2
14%
Away Win
7.11
xG Home
1.45
xG Away
0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS
32%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives England an expected 1.4 goals and Congo DR an expected 0.6 goals. England have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Congo DR at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
19.6%
2:0
14.2%
0:0
13.6%
1:1
10.8%
2:1
7.8%
0:1
7.5%
3:0
6.8%
3:1
3.8%
1:2
3%
4:0
2.5%
2:2
2.2%
0:2
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | England Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| England | Congo DR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |