1
91%
Home Win
1.1
X
2%
Draw
50.76
2
1%
Away Win
100
xG Home
5.00
xG Away
0.41
Over 2.5 Goals
84%
BTTS
31%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Senegal an expected 5.0 goals and Iraq an expected 0.4 goals. Senegal have a 91% win probability, draw stands at 2%, and Iraq at 1%. The most likely exact scoreline is 4–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 84%.
Correct Score Predictions
4:0
11.6%
3:0
9.3%
2:0
5.6%
4:1
4.8%
3:1
3.8%
2:1
2.3%
1:0
2.2%
4:2
1%
1:1
0.9%
3:2
0.8%
2:2
0.5%
0:0
0.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Senegal Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Senegal | Iraq | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 4 |
| 3 | Points | 0 |
| 33% | Win % | 0% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.33 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 4 |