1
4%
Home Win
23.98
X
6%
Draw
16.81
2
84%
Away Win
1.19
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
4.82
Over 2.5 Goals
89%
BTTS
68%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Norway an expected 1.3 goals and France an expected 4.8 goals. Norway have a 4% win probability, draw stands at 6%, and France at 84%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–4. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 89%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:4
6.4%
1:3
5.3%
0:4
5%
0:3
4.2%
2:4
4.1%
2:3
3.4%
1:2
3.3%
0:2
2.6%
2:2
2.1%
3:4
1.8%
3:3
1.5%
1:1
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | France Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Norway | France | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 1 |
| 6 | Points | 9 |
| 67% | Win % | 100% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.33 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |