1
11%
Home Win
9.49
X
15%
Draw
6.83
2
75%
Away Win
1.34
xG Home
0.96
xG Away
2.76
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Türkiye an expected 1.0 goals and USA an expected 2.8 goals. Türkiye have a 11% win probability, draw stands at 15%, and USA at 75%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 72%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
9.2%
1:2
8.9%
0:3
8.5%
1:3
8.2%
0:1
6.7%
1:1
6.4%
0:4
5.8%
1:4
5.6%
2:2
4.3%
2:3
3.9%
2:1
3.1%
2:4
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | USA Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Türkiye | USA | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 1 |
| 3 | Points | 6 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.67 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Head to Head
USA
1 : 2
Türkiye
W