Türkiye vs USA Prediction

Türkiye Türkiye
1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Fri, 26 Jun 2026 · World Cup
USA USA
1 42%
Home Win 2.4
X 32%
Draw 3.17
2 27%
Away Win 3.74
xG Home 1.08
xG Away 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
BTTS 36%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Türkiye an expected 1.1 goals and USA an expected 0.8 goals. Türkiye have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and USA at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 16.5%
0:0 15.3%
1:1 13.2%
0:1 12.2%
2:0 8.9%
2:1 7.1%
1:2 5.3%
0:2 4.9%
3:0 3.2%
2:2 2.8%
3:1 2.6%
1:3 1.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Türkiye Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Türkiye USA
4 League Position 1
0 Points 0

Head to Head

07 Jun 2025 Friendlies
USA 1 : 2 Türkiye
W