1
47%
Home Win
2.13
X
25%
Draw
4.04
2
28%
Away Win
3.54
xG Home
1.60
xG Away
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Turkey an expected 1.6 goals and USA an expected 1.2 goals. Turkey have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and USA at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.7%
1:0
9.9%
2:1
9.4%
2:0
7.9%
0:1
7.3%
1:2
6.9%
0:0
6.2%
2:2
5.5%
3:1
5%
0:2
4.3%
3:0
4.2%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Turkey Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
