1
17%
Home Win
5.81
X
50%
Draw
2.02
2
33%
Away Win
3.01
xG Home
0.32
xG Away
0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
6%
BTTS
12%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Paraguay an expected 0.3 goals and Australia an expected 0.6 goals. Paraguay have a 17% win probability, draw stands at 50%, and Australia at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 94%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
41.8%
0:1
23%
1:0
13.4%
1:1
7.4%
0:2
6.3%
2:0
2.2%
1:2
2%
2:1
1.2%
0:3
1.2%
1:3
0.4%
2:2
0.3%
3:0
0.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Australia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Paraguay | Australia | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 2 |
| 4 | Points | 4 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |