1
42%
Home Win
2.4
X
32%
Draw
3.17
2
27%
Away Win
3.74
xG Home
1.08
xG Away
0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Paraguay an expected 1.1 goals and Australia an expected 0.8 goals. Paraguay have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Australia at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.5%
0:0
15.3%
1:1
13.2%
0:1
12.2%
2:0
8.9%
2:1
7.1%
1:2
5.3%
0:2
4.9%
3:0
3.2%
2:2
2.8%
3:1
2.6%
1:3
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Paraguay Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Paraguay | Australia | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 3 |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
