1
15%
Home Win
6.57
X
23%
Draw
4.27
2
61%
Away Win
1.63
xG Home
0.71
xG Away
1.71
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Dundee an expected 0.7 goals and Motherwell an expected 1.7 goals. Dundee have a 15% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Motherwell at 61%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
15.1%
0:2
12.9%
1:1
10.8%
1:2
9.3%
0:0
8.8%
0:3
7.4%
1:0
6.3%
1:3
5.3%
2:1
3.9%
2:2
3.3%
0:4
3.2%
1:4
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Motherwell Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| Dundee | Motherwell | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 4 |
| 33 | Points | 54 |
| 24% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.88 |
Venue Form
Dundee at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Motherwell Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Dundee
W
W
Motherwell
L
L
W
