1
38%
Home Win
2.62
X
29%
Draw
3.5
2
33%
Away Win
3
xG Home
1.18
xG Away
1.09
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Dundee an expected 1.2 goals and Aberdeen an expected 1.1 goals. Dundee have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Aberdeen at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.3%
1:0
12.2%
0:1
11.2%
0:0
10.3%
2:1
7.9%
2:0
7.2%
1:2
7.2%
0:2
6.1%
2:2
4.3%
3:1
3.1%
3:0
2.9%
1:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Dundee Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Dundee | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 8 |
| 33 | Points | 33 |
| 24% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Dundee at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Aberdeen Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Dundee
W
W
Aberdeen
D
