1
23%
Home Win
4.31
X
26%
Draw
3.9
2
51%
Away Win
1.96
xG Home
0.95
xG Away
1.54
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives DC United an expected 0.9 goals and New England Revolution an expected 1.5 goals. DC United have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and New England Revolution at 51%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
12.8%
1:1
12.1%
0:2
9.9%
1:2
9.3%
0:0
8.3%
1:0
7.9%
2:1
5.7%
0:3
5.1%
1:3
4.8%
2:2
4.4%
2:0
3.7%
2:3
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | New England Revolution Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| DC United | New England Revolution | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 11 |
| 26 | Points | 36 |
| 15% | Win % | 26% |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
DC United at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
New England Revolution Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
DC United
W
New England Revolution
D
W
W
