1
33%
Home Win
3.06
X
27%
Draw
3.72
2
40%
Away Win
2.48
xG Home
1.17
xG Away
1.33
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives DC United an expected 1.2 goals and Atlanta United FC an expected 1.3 goals. DC United have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Atlanta United FC at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
0:1
10.9%
1:0
9.6%
1:2
8.5%
0:0
8.2%
2:1
7.5%
0:2
7.3%
2:0
5.6%
2:2
5%
1:3
3.8%
0:3
3.2%
3:1
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Atlanta United FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| DC United | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 14 |
| 26 | Points | 28 |
| 15% | Win % | 15% |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
DC United at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Atlanta United FC Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
DC United
W
Atlanta United FC
L
W
L
