1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.90
xG Away
0.83
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Daejeon Hana Citizen an expected 2.9 goals and Gwangju FC an expected 0.8 goals. Daejeon Hana Citizen have a 79% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Gwangju FC at 8%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 72%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.1%
3:0
9.7%
2:1
8.4%
3:1
8.1%
4:0
7%
1:0
6.9%
4:1
5.9%
1:1
5.8%
2:2
3.5%
3:2
3.4%
4:2
2.4%
1:2
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Daejeon Hana Citizen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 79% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.27 |
| Market Odds | 1.35 |
Team Comparison
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | Gwangju FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 12 |
| 49 | Points | 21 |
| 39% | Win % | 9% |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.91 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.09 |
Venue Form
Daejeon Hana Citizen at Home
W1
D3
L0
(4 games)
Gwangju FC Away
W1
D3
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Daejeon Hana Citizen
D
W
D
D
Gwangju FC
W
D
D
D
