1
15%
Home Win
6.48
X
22%
Draw
4.5
2
62%
Away Win
1.6
xG Home
0.78
xG Away
1.83
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Crystal Palace an expected 0.8 goals and Manchester City an expected 1.8 goals. Crystal Palace have a 15% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Manchester City at 62%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.4%
0:2
12.3%
1:1
10.5%
1:2
9.6%
0:3
7.5%
0:0
7.3%
1:3
5.9%
1:0
5.7%
2:1
4.1%
2:2
3.7%
0:4
3.4%
1:4
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Manchester City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 62% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.61 |
| Market Odds | 1.72 |
Team Comparison
| Crystal Palace | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 2 |
| 45 | Points | 78 |
| 29% | Win % | 61% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.03 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
Venue Form
Crystal Palace at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Manchester City Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Crystal Palace
D
D
Manchester City
D
W
W