1
75%
Home Win
1.33
X
17%
Draw
5.96
2
8%
Away Win
12.87
xG Home
2.20
xG Away
0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cruz Azul an expected 2.2 goals and Puebla an expected 0.5 goals. Cruz Azul have a 75% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Puebla at 8%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
15.5%
1:0
14.1%
3:0
11.4%
2:1
8.5%
1:1
7.7%
0:0
6.4%
4:0
6.3%
3:1
6.2%
0:1
3.5%
4:1
3.4%
2:2
2.3%
1:2
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruz Azul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Cruz Azul | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 17 |
| 33 | Points | 13 |
| 53% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.76 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Cruz Azul at Home
W3
D3
L0
(6 games)
Puebla Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Cruz Azul
W
D
D
W
W
Puebla
L
W
L
L
Head to Head
Cruz Azul
1 : 0
Puebla
L
Puebla
0 : 3
Cruz Azul
W
Cruz Azul
1 : 1
Puebla
D
