1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.71
xG Away
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cruz Azul an expected 2.7 goals and FC Juarez an expected 1.1 goals. Cruz Azul have a 71% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and FC Juarez at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 73%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9%
2:0
8.2%
3:1
8.1%
3:0
7.4%
1:1
6.6%
1:0
6%
4:1
5.5%
4:0
5%
2:2
4.9%
3:2
4.4%
1:2
3.6%
4:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruz Azul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| Cruz Azul | FC Juarez | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 12 |
| 33 | Points | 19 |
| 53% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.88 |
Venue Form
Cruz Azul at Home
W4
D4
L0
(8 games)
FC Juarez Away
W0
D0
L5
(5 games)
Recent Form
Cruz Azul
D
W
W
D
D
FC Juarez
L
L
L
L
L
