Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 02 Aug 2026 · Liga MX
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.48
xG Away 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
BTTS 51%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Cruz Azul an expected 1.5 goals and Atlante FC an expected 1.1 goals. Cruz Azul have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Atlante FC at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.3%
1:0 11.3%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.3%
2:0 8.3%
0:0 7.6%
1:2 6.8%
2:2 5%
0:2 4.6%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 4.1%
1:3 2.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Cruz Azul Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Cruz Azul at Home
W4 D4 L0 (8 games)
50% win rate
Atlante FC Away
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Cruz Azul
D W W D D
Atlante FC
D