1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
0.84
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Corinthians an expected 1.3 goals and Vitoria an expected 0.8 goals. Corinthians have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Vitoria at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.4%
1:1
12.9%
0:0
11.9%
2:0
10%
0:1
9.9%
2:1
8.3%
1:2
5.4%
3:0
4.3%
0:2
4.2%
3:1
3.6%
2:2
3.5%
3:2
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Corinthians Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Corinthians | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 15 |
| 47 | Points | 45 |
| 32% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.92 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
Venue Form
Corinthians at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Vitoria Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Corinthians
L
W
W
D
Vitoria
D
L
