1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.97
xG Away
1.50
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Corinthians an expected 1.0 goals and Mirassol an expected 1.5 goals. Corinthians have a 24% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Mirassol at 50%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
12.7%
1:1
12.3%
0:2
9.5%
1:2
9.2%
0:0
8.4%
1:0
8.2%
2:1
6%
0:3
4.8%
1:3
4.6%
2:2
4.5%
2:0
4%
2:3
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mirassol Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Corinthians | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 4 |
| 47 | Points | 67 |
| 32% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.66 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
Venue Form
Corinthians at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Mirassol Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Corinthians
L
W
W
D
Mirassol
L
W
