1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.79
xG Away
1.23
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atletico-MG an expected 0.8 goals and Cruzeiro an expected 1.2 goals. Atletico-MG have a 24% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Cruzeiro at 47%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16.3%
0:0
13.3%
1:1
12.9%
1:0
10.5%
0:2
10%
1:2
7.9%
2:1
5.1%
2:0
4.1%
0:3
4.1%
1:3
3.2%
2:2
3.1%
3:1
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruzeiro Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Atletico-MG | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 3 |
| 48 | Points | 70 |
| 32% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
Venue Form
Atletico-MG at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Cruzeiro Away
W5
D0
L0
(5 games)
Recent Form
Atletico-MG
D
L
W
Cruzeiro
W
W
W
W
W
