1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.39
xG Away
1.01
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bahia an expected 1.4 goals and São Paulo FC an expected 1.0 goals. Bahia have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and São Paulo FC at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.7%
1:0
12.7%
0:1
9.1%
0:0
9.1%
2:1
8.9%
2:0
8.8%
1:2
6.4%
0:2
4.6%
2:2
4.5%
3:1
4.1%
3:0
4.1%
1:3
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bahia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Bahia | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 8 |
| 60 | Points | 51 |
| 45% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Bahia at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
São Paulo FC Away
W0
D3
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Bahia
W
W
L
D
São Paulo FC
D
L
L
D
D
