1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.88
xG Away
1.68
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Santos an expected 0.9 goals and Palmeiras an expected 1.7 goals. Santos have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Palmeiras at 56%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13%
1:1
11.4%
0:2
10.9%
1:2
9.6%
0:0
7.8%
1:0
6.8%
0:3
6.1%
1:3
5.4%
2:1
5%
2:2
4.2%
2:0
3%
0:4
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Palmeiras Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| Santos | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 2 |
| 47 | Points | 76 |
| 32% | Win % | 61% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.87 |
Venue Form
Santos at Home
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Palmeiras Away
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Santos
D
D
W
L
Palmeiras
D
W
D
W
