1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.69
xG Away
0.87
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fluminense an expected 1.7 goals and Internacional an expected 0.9 goals. Fluminense have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Internacional at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13%
1:1
11.4%
2:0
11%
2:1
9.6%
0:0
7.7%
0:1
6.7%
3:0
6.2%
3:1
5.4%
1:2
5%
2:2
4.2%
0:2
2.9%
4:0
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fluminense Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Fluminense | Internacional | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 16 |
| 64 | Points | 44 |
| 50% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Fluminense at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Internacional Away
W0
D2
L4
(6 games)
Recent Form
Fluminense
D
D
W
Internacional
L
L
L
D
D