Fluminense vs Internacional Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Wed, 28 Oct 2026 · Brasileirão
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.69
xG Away 0.87
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
BTTS 47%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Fluminense an expected 1.7 goals and Internacional an expected 0.9 goals. Fluminense have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Internacional at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13%
1:1 11.4%
2:0 11%
2:1 9.6%
0:0 7.7%
0:1 6.7%
3:0 6.2%
3:1 5.4%
1:2 5%
2:2 4.2%
0:2 2.9%
4:0 2.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Fluminense Win
Probability 57%
Predicted Odds 1.75
Market Odds 1.87

Team Comparison

Fluminense Internacional
5 League Position 16
64 Points 44
50% Win % 29%
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5

Venue Form

Fluminense at Home
W1 D2 L0 (3 games)
33% win rate
Internacional Away
W0 D2 L4 (6 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Fluminense
D D W
Internacional
L L L D D