1
44%
Home Win
2.25
X
24%
Draw
4.09
2
31%
Away Win
3.22
xG Home
1.60
xG Away
1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Columbus Crew an expected 1.6 goals and New York Red Bulls an expected 1.3 goals. Columbus Crew have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and New York Red Bulls at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.5%
2:1
9.2%
1:0
8.8%
1:2
7.4%
0:1
7.2%
2:0
7.1%
2:2
5.9%
0:0
5.5%
3:1
4.9%
0:2
4.6%
3:0
3.8%
1:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Columbus Crew Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Columbus Crew | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 10 |
| 54 | Points | 43 |
| 41% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
Venue Form
Columbus Crew at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
New York Red Bulls Away
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Columbus Crew
L
W
W
W
New York Red Bulls
L
D
W
L
L
