Club América vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas Prediction

0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 03 May 2026 · Liga MX
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.93
xG Away 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
BTTS 45%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Club América an expected 0.9 goals and U.N.A.M. - Pumas an expected 1.4 goals. Club América have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and U.N.A.M. - Pumas at 47%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 13.8%
1:1 12.8%
0:0 10.2%
1:0 9.5%
0:2 9.4%
1:2 8.7%
2:1 6%
2:0 4.4%
0:3 4.2%
2:2 4%
1:3 3.9%
3:1 1.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win
Probability 47%
Predicted Odds 2.13
Market Odds 2.26

Team Comparison

Club América U.N.A.M. - Pumas
8 League Position 1
25 Points 36
41% Win % 59%
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 2
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

Club América at Home
W1 D2 L2 (5 games)
20% win rate
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Away
W3 D3 L2 (8 games)
38% win rate

Recent Form

Club América
D D L W L
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
D L W D L