1
55%
Home Win
1.83
X
21%
Draw
4.83
2
25%
Away Win
4.04
xG Home
2.15
xG Away
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
BTTS
67%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chicago Fire an expected 2.1 goals and New England Revolution an expected 1.4 goals. Chicago Fire have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and New England Revolution at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.3%
1:1
8.7%
3:1
6.6%
2:0
6.6%
2:2
6.5%
1:0
6.2%
1:2
6.1%
3:0
4.7%
3:2
4.7%
0:1
4%
4:1
3.6%
2:3
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chicago Fire Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Chicago Fire | New England Revolution | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 11 |
| 53 | Points | 36 |
| 44% | Win % | 26% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Chicago Fire at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
New England Revolution Away
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Chicago Fire
D
L
L
W
New England Revolution
W
L
D
W
W
