1
43%
Home Win
2.33
X
22%
Draw
4.64
2
36%
Away Win
2.82
xG Home
1.94
xG Away
1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS
71%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chicago Fire an expected 1.9 goals and Charlotte an expected 1.8 goals. Chicago Fire have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Charlotte at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
8.5%
2:1
8.2%
1:2
7.4%
2:2
7.2%
3:1
5.3%
1:0
4.9%
2:0
4.7%
3:2
4.6%
0:1
4.4%
1:3
4.3%
2:3
4.2%
0:2
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chicago Fire Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Chicago Fire | Charlotte | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 4 |
| 53 | Points | 59 |
| 44% | Win % | 56% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.62 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
Venue Form
Chicago Fire at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Charlotte Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Chicago Fire
L
L
W
Charlotte
L
L
L
W
