1
57%
Home Win
1.74
X
26%
Draw
3.89
2
17%
Away Win
5.89
xG Home
1.53
xG Away
0.70
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cerezo Osaka an expected 1.5 goals and Tokyo Verdy an expected 0.7 goals. Cerezo Osaka have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Tokyo Verdy at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.4%
2:0
12.6%
1:1
11.5%
0:0
10.7%
2:1
8.8%
0:1
7.5%
3:0
6.4%
3:1
4.5%
1:2
4%
2:2
3.1%
0:2
2.6%
4:0
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cerezo Osaka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Cerezo Osaka | Tokyo Verdy | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 17 |
| 52 | Points | 43 |
| 37% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.61 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
Venue Form
Cerezo Osaka at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Tokyo Verdy Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Cerezo Osaka
D
W
W
Tokyo Verdy
D
D
L
L
