1
51%
Home Win
1.97
X
25%
Draw
4.02
2
24%
Away Win
4.1
xG Home
1.61
xG Away
1.04
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cerezo Osaka an expected 1.6 goals and Fagiano Okayama an expected 1.0 goals. Cerezo Osaka have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Fagiano Okayama at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
1:0
11.4%
2:1
9.5%
2:0
9.2%
0:1
7.4%
0:0
7.1%
1:2
6.1%
3:1
5.1%
2:2
4.9%
3:0
4.9%
0:2
3.8%
3:2
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cerezo Osaka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Cerezo Osaka | Fagiano Okayama | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 13 |
| 52 | Points | 45 |
| 37% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.89 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
Venue Form
Cerezo Osaka at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Fagiano Okayama Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Cerezo Osaka
D
W
W
Fagiano Okayama
W
W
L
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama
2 : 3
Cerezo Osaka
W
Cerezo Osaka
1 : 2
Fagiano Okayama
W
Fagiano Okayama
1 : 2
Cerezo Osaka
W
