1
62%
Home Win
1.61
X
21%
Draw
4.85
2
17%
Away Win
5.81
xG Home
2.05
xG Away
0.98
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Celtic an expected 2.1 goals and Falkirk an expected 1.0 goals. Celtic have a 62% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Falkirk at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.2%
2:1
9.9%
1:0
9.9%
1:1
9.7%
3:0
7%
3:1
6.8%
2:2
4.9%
0:0
4.8%
1:2
4.7%
0:1
4.7%
4:0
3.6%
4:1
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Celtic Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 62% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.61 |
| Market Odds | 1.72 |
Team Comparison
| Celtic | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 6 |
| 67 | Points | 46 |
| 64% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Celtic at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Falkirk Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Celtic
W
W
Falkirk
L
L
