1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.45
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Casa Pia AC an expected 1.4 goals and Torreense an expected 1.1 goals. Casa Pia AC have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Torreense at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
1:0
11.6%
2:1
9%
0:1
8.6%
2:0
8.4%
0:0
8%
1:2
6.7%
2:2
4.9%
0:2
4.6%
3:1
4.4%
3:0
4.1%
1:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Casa Pia AC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Venue Form
Casa Pia AC at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Torreense Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Casa Pia AC
W
L
L
D
Torreense
L
Head to Head
Torreense
0 : 0
Casa Pia
D
Casa Pia
1 : 2
Torreense
W
Casa Pia
4 : 4
Torreense
D
